Exit Poll 2023:
Curiosity grips the nation as the assembly election results of five states—Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram—loom on the horizon. The anticipation to know the state governments’ fate post-election resonates across the country. Polstrat, through its extensive exit poll data, has attempted to decipher the people’s mandate in these states by collating opinions from thousands of voters.
The exit poll projections, serving as an estimation, aim to forecast the potential election results due on December 3. Polstrat’s data draws from a sample size of 25,000 respondents. The findings suggest a potential change in government for Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, while projecting a tight competition in Telangana and Chhattisgarh.
Madhya Pradesh currently houses a BJP-led government with Shivraj Singh Chouhan as the Chief Minister. However, according to the exit polls, a shift might occur as the Congress party is anticipated to secure 111-121 seats compared to BJP’s projected 106-116 seats out of the 230 assembly seats. The predicted vote share stands at 45.6 percent for Congress and 43.33 percent for BJP. Notably, 116 seats are required to form a government in Madhya Pradesh.
Chhattisgarh presents a close contest between BJP and Congress for its 90 assembly seats. The projections indicate BJP securing 35-45 seats and Congress 40-50 seats. The expected vote share stands at 43.8 percent for BJP, 45 percent for Congress, and 11.2 percent for others.
In Rajasthan, where government changes are customary every five years, the exit polls hint at a potential shift. The projections foresee Congress securing 90-100 seats compared to BJP’s projected 100-110 seats out of the 200 assembly seats. BJP is expected to secure 41.8 percent of the votes while Congress might secure 39.9 percent. A majority of 101 seats is essential to form the government in Rajasthan.
Telangana, with 119 assembly seats, witnessed polling on November 30. The exit polls suggest a potential change in leadership, with projections indicating BRS securing 48-58 seats, Congress 49-59 seats, BJP 5-10 seats, and AIMIM 6-8 seats. Notably, 60 seats are required for a majority, and no single party appears to reach this threshold as per the exit polls.
The voting in these states occurred on various dates, showcasing significant voter turnouts. Madhya Pradesh witnessed voting on November 18 with a turnout of over 76 percent, Rajasthan on November 25 with a turnout of 75.45 percent, and Chhattisgarh across two phases on November 7 and 17 with a turnout of 69.78 percent. Mizoram held its elections on November 7 across its 40 assembly seats.
The results not only hold political significance but also bear the weight of the fate of leaders such as Shivraj Singh Chouhan in Madhya Pradesh, Bhupesh Singh Baghel in Chhattisgarh, and Ashok Gehlot in Rajasthan. The nation eagerly awaits December 3 to unravel the outcome, pondering whether established leaders will retain power or new chapters in governance will be scripted.
Ayub Baig is a dedicated blogger with an insatiable passion for news. With a keen eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to delivering accurate and engaging content, Ayub has carved a niche in the digital world as a go-to source for timely and insightful news updates. His relentless pursuit of staying ahead of the curve in the ever-evolving news landscape has propelled him to curate compelling stories that captivate and inform his audience. Through meticulous research and a knack for storytelling, Ayub brings a fresh perspective to current events, making his blog a trusted destination for those seeking a deeper understanding of the world around
